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Opened Apr 29, 2026 by Soila Crespo@soilacrespo60
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Valspar Championship 2026 Betting Preview, Odds and Picks: Betting On Brooks


The PGA Tour concludes the Florida swing this week with the Valspar Championship, as players make one last stop before shifting focus towards Texas and, ultimately, the Masters.

At Innisbrook's Copperhead Course, the field will face one of the harder and more distinct tests on the schedule.

Let's break down the odds, course setup and best choices for today's Valspar Championship.

Valspar Championship 2026 Odds

Xander Schauffele (+1100 ) Matt Fitzpatrick (+1400 ) Viktor Hovland (+1800 ) Akshay Bhatia (+2200 ) Jacob Bridgeman (+2200 ) Justin Thomas (+2200 ) Brooks Koepka (+2500 ) Jordan Spieth (+2500 ) Patrick Cantlay (+2500 ) Corey Conners (+3000 ) Ryo Hisatsune (+3000 ) J.J. Spaun (+3500 ) Sahith Theegala (+3500 ) Austin Smotherman (+4000 ) Ben Griffin (+4000 ) Nicolai Hojgaard (+4000 ) Nick Taylor (+5500 ) Aaron Rai (+6000 )

Copperhead Course: What to Know

Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course|Palm, Harbor, Florida Par: 71 Yardage: 7,352 Greens: Poa Trivialis (16th tiniest on Tour). Fairways: Overseeded Ryegrass (fourth narrowest). Rough: Overseeded Ryegrass (4 inches). Bunkers: 74. Water in Play: 6

Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club has 4 courses on home, however Copperhead is the one that's hosted this event since it debuted on Tour back in 2000.

It is among the more underrated stops on the schedule and a layout gamers tend to take pleasure in using. You're not getting your common Florida setup here either. Instead of wide fairways and flat terrain, Copperhead includes narrow, pine tree-lined corridors, lots of tight doglegs and some obvious elevation changes throughout. It's similar to TPC Sawgrass where positioning matters more than just bombing it off the tee.

Because of that, gamers are forced to club down off the tee, which moves the benefit away from distance and toward method play.

Copperhead isn't a traditional par 71 either. It includes 5 par threes, all 195 lawns or longer, and they rank as the ninth hardest set of par threes on Tour. The 4 par 5s are far from simple too, grading out as the fourth most difficult group regardless of being the best opportunities for birdies.

It's also quite a second-shot course. Around 53% of approach shots originate from beyond 175 yards, with players striking into little, firm greens that are hard to hold. That's a big reason that greens in regulation relax simply 57%, among the most affordable marks on Tour.

You're going to have to be called in with your irons to produce chances.

And with driver utilized on hardly half of tee shots, there isn't much separation off the tee. Strokes gained off the tee hasn't been a crucial indicator of success here, which puts even more pressure on method play and the brief video game.

With greens missed out on as typically as they are, being able to get strokes around the green becomes a big benefit when it pertains to conserving par and preventing mistakes.

Include one of the toughest closing stretches on Tour with the Snake Pit, and this ends up being more about limiting errors and playing what's considered boring golf.

Approach play is the greatest priority today, especially at comparable challenging scoring courses. With a lot of shots originating from 175 lawns and out into little, firm greens, I'm heavily weighting SG: APP and distance from distance.

From there, I'm concentrating on gamers who can manage a grind. That means taking a look at bogey avoidance, scrambling and SG: ARG, together with good drive portion to remain in position. I'm likewise considering par 3 and par 5 scoring, putting divides on Poa surface areas and general in difficult scoring conditions.

Valspar Championship Picks

Brooks Koepka: To Win (27/1)|Top 30 (-125 )

It was a rocky start to Brooks Koepka's go back to the Tour, ending up T-56 at the Farmers Insurance Open and after that missing the cut at the Waste Management Phoenix Open, but it didn't take long for him to bounce back.

Koepka reacted with a T-9 at the Cognizant Classic and followed that up with a T-13 finish recently at THE PLAYERS.

This season, amongst this field, Koepka ranks 2nd in SG: APP. Over the past couple of years at courses with tough scoring conditions, he's 21st because metric, and when you pair that with strong greens in guideline numbers and his distance from 175+ yards, it's precisely what you want at a course like this.

He's also 23rd in SG: ARG over his last 36 rounds, which shows that even if his irons aren't called, he can still offset it around the green.

This field offers an excellent chance for a star player to shine.

J.J. Spaun: To Win (34/1)|Top 30 (-124 )

I went back and forth on whether to shoot on J.J. Spaun this week. It hasn't been a terrific start to the year, with his best surface coming last week at THE PLAYERS (T-24), however he's appearing a huge way in my design, ranking fourth overall.

He's first in SG: TOT in comparable scoring conditions, 3rd in GIR% over his last 36 rounds, 8th in SG: APP, 10th in Bogey Avoidance and 15th in Good Drive Percentage with a blended club choice off the tee.

The putter has actually cooled off a bit, which is truly the primary issue, however if that even returns to average, the rest of his video game is in a solid area for a course like Copperhead.

With the Masters around the corner, Spaun could utilize a strong showing, and this feels like among the much better opportunities for him to put it together.

Corey Conners: To Win (35/1)|Top 30 (-120 )

How could I not go back to Corey Conners for a third straight week? The Canadian cured us well at THE PLAYERS. Not only did he hold the lead for a stretch, however he eventually cashed us a Leading 20 (+168) ticket with a T-13 surface at TPC Sawgrass.

I had him appreciated in my model recently, and the same is occurring once again for the Valspar Championship. He ended up T-8 last year at this event and in total has 12 rounds at Innisbrook, publishing a Real SG mark of +1.63.

Conners ranks second in Bogey Avoidance at hard scoring courses, fourth in SG: APP and sixth in Birdie or Better Percentage. He's been extremely accurate off the tee with a mixed club selection, he's striking greens in guideline at a high rate (second) and has actually done a nice job benefiting from Par 5s.

What hasn't been as strong is the putter, along with his play around the green and on more difficult Par threes. Still, he had the ability to conquer that last week. In a weaker field he could certainly do it again and in fact win this thing.

Nicolai Hojgaard: To Win (38/1)|Top 30 (-106 )

This guy has been a popular wagering selection this season, and for great factor.

The 25-year-old hasn't completed even worse than T-27, which came last week at THE PLAYERS. His best finishes consist of a T-3 at the Phoenix Open and a T-6 at the Cognizant Classic.

Hojgaard's irons have actually been called in, the putter has actually been solid and he ranks first in SG: Par 3 over the past number of seasons on average-to-difficult Par 3s.

He'll need to stay constant off the tee and be a bit sharper around the green, however if he can do that, there's no reason he can't discover himself near the top of the leaderboard again and perhaps even break through for his very first PGA Tour win.

Ryo Hisatsune: To Win (39/1)|Top 30 (-102 )

Ryo Hisatsune ended up T-4 at this event last year, and the season prior he posted a T-33. In total, he's gained +1.68 strokes per round at Innisbrook.

What's even more convincing is his current form. He's missed simply one cut in eight competitions this season, which came in his very first start of the year at the Sony Open.

His best results include a T-2 at the Farmers, a T-8 at Pebble Beach and a T-13 surface recently at THE PLAYERS.

He ranks 6th in SG: TOT on comparable tracks and is likewise sixth in GIR% over his last 36 rounds. He's also adding a 12th-place mark in Scrambling, 18th in Bogey Avoidance and 32nd in SG: PUTT on Poa Trivialis.

His iron play has actually taken an advance this season and if that continues, it could bring him even further at Innisbrook this time around

Mac Meissner: To Win (90/1)|Top 40 (-108 )

It's time for our dark-horse choice of the week, which comes from 27-year-old South Carolina native Mac Meissner.

It may be insane to back a gamer coming off back-to-back missed out on cuts, however with him ranking sixth overall in my design this week, he is difficult to disregard.

Meissner ranks initially in Bogey Avoidance, second in Scrambling and seventh in SG: APP at hard courses similar to Copperhead.

He's likewise performed well here, finishing T-26 in 2024 and T-28 in 2025, publishing a Real SG mark of +1.05.

I believe Meissner's got some worth today. I'll happily lay -108 for a Leading 40, and hope we're also sweating a 90/1 outright ticket come Sunday.

Nick Taylor Top 30 Finish (-114 ). Taylor Pendrith Top 30 Finish (+100 )

Something about those Canadians this week, eh? My model is high on our friends from the Great White North, and I do not want to lose out on wagering them to end up Top 30.

I don't think they have enough to win this tournament outright, but I believe they'll stay competitive for all 4 days.

Taylor hasn't missed out on a cut this season, and his play around the green can bring him through the week.

Meanwhile, Pendrith is appearing 10th in my model.

So let's add these 2 golfers to the card too, however simply with their Top 30 wagers.

Brooks Koepka: To Win (27/1)|Top 30 (-125 ). Spaun: To Win (34/1)|Top 30 (-124 ) Corey Conners: To Win (35/1)|Top 30 (-120 ) Nicolai Hojgaard: To Win (38/1)|Top 30 (-106 ) Ryo Hisatsune: To Win (39/1)|Top 30 (-102 ) Mac Meissner: To Win (90/1)|Top 40 (-108 ) Nick Taylor Top 30 Finish (-114 ) Taylor Pendrith Top 3o Finish (+100 )

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Reference: soilacrespo60/the-bet-9ja-promo-code-for-2026-is-yohaig#1